Reimaginando a dinâmica capitalista: expectativas ficcionais e o caráter aberto dos futuros econômicos
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.11606/0103-2070.ts.2017.119003Palavras-chave:
Expectativas, Incerteza, Capitalismo, Ficção, FuturosResumo
Este artigo procura contribuir com a explicação sobre o incansável dinamismo do capitalismo que temos observado desde a Revolução Industrial. Ao tomar decisões, atores criam expectativas sobre seus resultados. Como o futuro é aberto, atores têm de confrontar a incerteza sobre o resultado de suas ações. Quais são as expectativas possíveis em condições de incerteza? Para responder a essa pergunta, o artigo introduz a noção de expectativas ficcionais, que podem ser utilizadas para descrever decisões realizadas sob condições de um futuro aberto e incerto. O artigo aplica o conceito de expectativas ficcionais para a análise de quatro processos cruciais do capitalismo: dinheiro e crédito, investimentos, inovação e consumo. O principal impulso do artigo é argumentar que, para compreender a ação econômica no capitalismo e o sentido que atores atribuem a suas decisões, é necessário centrar a atenção nas percepções dos atores a respeito do futuro.
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