Regional development and convergence clubs in Uruguay
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.11606/1980-5330/ea188185Palavras-chave:
desenvolvimento econômico regional, indicador multidimensional, convergência, clubesResumo
Construímos um indicador multidimensional de desenvolvimento regional e realizamos uma análise de convergência usando dados uruguaios para o período 2006–2015. O indicador multidimensional departamental colapsa quatro dimensões de desenvolvimento, permitindo rastrear o desempenho de regiões em diferentes fatores de desenvolvimento. Nossos achados descartam a hipótese de convergência global para o período analisado. Identificamos, no entanto, convergências nos clubes, distinguindo três grupos de departamentos, com correspondência geográfica, que apresentam dinâmicas de desenvolvimento específicas. Esses clubes seguem trajetória própria e não convergem no período analisado, ainda que suas curvas de transição se aproximem um pouco.
Downloads
Referências
AZARIADIS, Costas; DRAZEN, Allan. Threshold externalities in economic development. Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 105, n. 2, p. 501–526, 1990.
BARCA, Fabrizio; MCCANN, Philip; RODRÍGUEZ-POSE, Andrés. The case for regional development intervention: place-based versus place-neutral approaches. Journal of Regional Science, v. 52, n. 1, p. 134–152, 2012.
BARRO, Robert J. Economic growth in a cross section of countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 106, n. 2, p. 407–443, 1991.
BARRO, Robert J.; SALA-I-MARTIN, Xavier. Convergence. Journal of Political Economy, v. 100, n. 2, p. 223–251, 1992.
BARRO, Robert J.; SALA-I-MARTIN, Xavier. Convergence across states and regions. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, v. 22, n. 1, p. 107–182, 1991.
BARTKOWSKA, Monika; RIEDL, Aleksandra. Regional convergence clubs in Europe: Identification and conditioning factors. Economic Modelling, v. 29, n. 1, p. 22–31, 2012.
BECK, Nathaniel; KATZ, Jonathan N. What to do (and not to do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data. American Political Science Review, v. 89, n. 3, p. 634–647, 1995.
BORSI, Mihály Tamás; METIU, Norbert. The evolution of economic convergence in the European Union. Empirical Economics, v. 48, p. 657–681, 2015.
CANOVA, Fabio. Testing for convergence clubs in income per capita: a predictive density approach. International Economic Review, v. 45, n. 1, p. 49–77, 2004.
DALL’ERBA, Sandy; LE GALLO, Julie. Regional convergence and the impact of European structural funds over 1989–1999: A spatial econometric analysis. Papers in Regional Science, v. 87, n. 2, p. 219–244, 2008.
DE LONG, J. Bradford. Productivity growth, convergence, and welfare: comment. American Economic Review, v. 78, n. 5, p. 1138–1154, 1988.
DU, Kerui. Econometric convergence test and club clustering using Stata. Stata Journal, v. 17, n. 4, p. 882–900, 2017.
GALOR, Oded. Convergence? Inferences from theoretical models. Economic Journal, v. 106, n. 437, p. 1056–1069, 1996.
GONZÁLEZ, Mª Candelaria Barrios; VARO, Esther Flores; NAVARRO, Mª Ángeles Martínez. Patrones de convergencia en las regiones españolas: Una aplicación de la metodología de Phillips-Sul. Revista de Estudios Regionales, n. 109, p. 165–190, 2017.
INSTITUTO MEXICANO PARA LA COMPETITIVIDAD — IMCO. Que no vuelva a pasar: Estados prevenidos valen por dos. Índice de Competitividad Estatal 2020. 2020.
INSTITUTO MEXICANO PARA LA COMPETITIVIDAD—IMCO. Un Puente entre Dos Mexicos. Índice de Competitividad Estatal 2016. 2016. Disponível em: https://imco.org.mx/indice-de-competitividad-estatal-2016/.
MANKIW, N. Gregory; ROMER, David; WEIL, David N. A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 107, n. 2, p. 407–437, 1992.
MINISTERIO DE HACIENDA. Indicador de Desarrollo Relativo Provincial. Resultados Regionales. Evolución en el período 2004-2017. Argentina: Dirección Nacional de Asuntos Provinciales, 2018.
MONFORT, Mercedes; CUESTAS, Juan Carlos; ORDONEZ, Javier. Real convergence in Europe: A cluster analysis. Economic Modelling, v. 33, p. 689–694, 2013.
PANZERA, Domenica; POSTIGLIONE, Paolo. Economic growth in Italian NUTS 3 provinces. Annals of Regional Science, v. 53, n. 1, p. 273–293, 2014.
PEÑA,Daniel et al. Análisis de datos multivariantes.Madrid:McGraw-Hill, 2002.
PHILLIPS, Peter C. B.; SUL, Donggyu. Transition modeling and econometric convergence tests. Econometrica, v. 75, n. 6, p. 1771–1855, 2007.
PIKE, Andy; RODRÍGUEZ-POSE, Andrés; TOMANEY, John. Local and Regional Development. 2. ed. London: Routledge, 2017.
POSTIGLIONE, Paolo; ANDREANO, M. Simona; BENEDETTI, Roberto. Using Constrained Optimization for the Identification of Convergence Clubs. Computational Economics, v. 42, p. 151–74, 2013.
POSTIGLIONE, Paolo; BENEDETTI, Roberto; LAFRATTA, Giovanni. A regression tree algorithm for the identification of convergence clubs. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, v. 54, n. 11, p. 2776–2785, 2010.
PUGA, Diego. European regional policies in light of recent location theories. Journal of Economic Geography, v. 2, n. 4, p. 373–406, 2002.
QUAH, Danny T. Empirics for growth and distribution: stratification, polarization, and convergence clubs. Journal of Economic Growth, v. 2, p. 27–59, 1997.
REBELO, Sergio Tavares. Long Run Policy Analysis and Long Run Growth. Cambridge, MA: NBER, 1990.
REY, Sergio J.; JANIKAS, Mark V. Regional convergence, inequality, and space. Journal of Economic Geography, v. 5, n. 2, p. 155–176, 2005.
ROBERTS, Mark et al. On the road to prosperity? The economic geography of China’s national expressway network. Washington, DC: World Bank, 2010. (Policy ResearchWorking Paper, n. 5479).
ROBERTS, Peter. Managing the strategic planning and development of regions: lessons from a European perspective. Regional Studies, v. 27, n. 8, p. 759–768, 1993.
RODRÍGUEZ BENAVIDES, Domingo; HERRERA, Francisco López; GONZÁLEZ, Miguel Ángel Mendoza. Clubs de convergencia regional en México: un análisis a través de un modelo no lineal de un solo factor. Investigaciones Regionales – Journal of Regional Research, n. 34, p. 7–22, 2016.
RODRÍGUEZ MIRANDA, Adrián; COSSANI, Camilo Vial; CENTURIÓN, Irene. El desarrollo como fenómeno multidimensional y territorial en América latina: Um aporte para la construcción de agendas regionales de impacto. In: MAZA ÁVILA, Francisco Javier; SALAS, Antonio Martínez; PÉREZ,María Del Carmen González. Problemas y Retos del Desarrollo en América Latina. Colombia: Universidad de Cartagena, 2022. p. 61–92.
RODRÍGUEZ MIRANDA, Adrián; COSSANI, Camilo Vial; PARRAO, Alejandra. Índice Compuesto y Multidimensional de Desarrollo Regional: Una propuesta para América Latina. Revista Iberoamericana de Estudios Municipales, n. 23, p. 1–30, 2021.
RODRÍGUEZ MIRANDA, Adrián; MENÉNDEZ,María de las Mercedes. Desigualdades regionales, crecimiento económico y cambio estructural en Uruguay: 1983-2017.Montevideo: Universidad de la República Uruguay, 2020. (Serie Documentos de Trabajo 12/20).
RODRÍGUEZ-POSE, André; ARBIX, Glauco. Strategies of waste: bidding wars in the Brazilian automobile sector. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, v. 25, n. 1, p. 134–154, 2001.
SALA-I-MARTIN, Xavier. Regional cohesion: evidence and theories of regional growth and convergence. European Economic Review, v. 40, n. 6, p. 1325–1352, 1996.
SCHNURBUS, Joachim; HAUPT, Harry; MEIER, Verena. Economic transition and growth: a replication. Journal of Applied Econometrics, v. 32, n. 5, p. 1039–1042, 2017.
SICHERA, Roberto; PIZZUTO, Pietro. Convergence Clubs: A Package for Performing the Phillips and Sul’s Club Convergence Clustering Procedure. R Journal, v. 11, n. 2, p. 142–151, 2019.
SOLOW, Robert M. Technical change and the aggregate production function. Review of Economics and Statistics, v. 39, n. 3, p. 312–320, 1957.
SWAN, Trevor W. Economic growth and capital accumulation. Economic Record, v. 32, n. 2, p. 334–361, 1956.
TIAN, Xu et al. Regional income inequality in China revisited: A perspective from club convergence. Economic Modelling, v. 56, p. 50–58, 2016.
ULLTVEIT-MOE, Karen Helene. Live and Let Die: Industrial Policy in a Globalised World. Expert Report No 22 to Sweden’s Globalization Council. 2008.
UNIVERSIDAD AUTÓNOMA DE CHILE. Índice de Desarrollo Regional IDERE 2019. M. Camilo Vial Cossani, editor. 2019.
VANHOUDT, Patrick; MATHÄ, Thomas; SCHMID, Bert. How productive are capital investments in Europe? EIB Papers, v. 5, n. 2, p. 81–106, 2000.
Downloads
Publicado
Edição
Seção
Licença
Copyright (c) 2023 Economia Aplicada
Este trabalho está licenciado sob uma licença Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
