The applied perspective for seasonal cointegration testing

Authors

  • Andre Luis Rossi de Oliveira Universidade de Brasilia
  • Paulo Picchetti Universidade de São Paulo

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.11606/1413-8050/ea217563

Keywords:

Time-series analysis, cointegration, seasonality

Abstract

While the literature on cointegration deals exclusively with the case of cointegration at the long-run or zero frequency between series in a vector of economic variables, it may happen that unit-roots are also present at the seasonal frequencies, and hence the concept of cointegration can be extended to the case of seasonal cointegration. In this paper we survey the available procedures for testing and estimating cointegration relationships at the seasonal frequencies, as well as at the zero frequency when seasonal unit-roots are present. A strong motivation for this is the lack of treatment of seasonal cointegration, even in the most recent books on cointegration.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

ENGLE, R. F., "On the theory of cointegrated economic time series" U.S.C.D. discussion paper no. 87-26, presented to the European meeting of the Econometric Society, Copenhagen, 1987.

ENGLE, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. "Cointegration and error-correction: Representation, estimation, and testing" Econometrica, 55, 251-276, 1987.

ENGLE, R. F., C. W. J. Granger, & J. Hallman, "Merging short and long run forecasts: An application of seasonal cointegration to monthly electricity sales forecasting". Journal of Econometrics, 40,45-62, 1989.

ENGLE, R. F, GRANGER, C. W. J. HYLLEBERG, S. & LEE, H. S. "Seasonal cointegration: The Japanese consumption function" Journal of Econometrics, 55, 275-298, 1993

ERMINI, L., & CHANG, D., "Testing the joint hypothesis of rationality and neutrality under seasonal cointegration" Journal of Econometrics, 74, 363-386, 1996.

FRANCES, P. H., "A method to select between periodic cointegration and seasonal cointegration. Economic Letters, 41, 7-10, 1993.

HYLLEBERG, S., ENGLE, R. R, GRANGER, C. W. J. & YOO, B. S. "Seasonal integration and cointegration" Journal of Econometrics, 44, 215-238, 1990,.

JOHANSEN, S., "Statistical analysis of cointegrating vectors" Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 231-254, 1988.

LEE, H. S., "Maximum likelihood inference in cointegration and seasonal cointegration". Journal of Econometrics, 54, 1-47, 1992.

Downloads

Published

1997-06-01

Issue

Section

Papers

How to Cite

The applied perspective for seasonal cointegration testing. (1997). Economia Aplicada, 1(2), 263-279. https://doi.org/10.11606/1413-8050/ea217563