Modeling economic growth fuelled by science and technology

Autores

  • Leonardo Costa Ribeiro Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. Departamento de Economia Autor
  • Ricardo Machado Ruiz Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. Departamento de Economia Autor
  • Américo Tristão Bernardes Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto. Departamento de Física Autor
  • Eduardo da Motta e Albuquerque Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. Departamento de Economia Autor

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612010000200003

Palavras-chave:

sistemas nacionais de inovação, patente, ciência, competitividade, crescimento econômico

Resumo

Este artigo propõe um modelo de simulação para investigar a contribuição da ciência e da tecnologia para o crescimento econômico. O ponto de partida são os sistemas nacionais de inovação, um conceito que sintetiza a capacitação tecnológica das nações. Desta forma, o modelo pode preservar simplicidade e parcimônia. Os dados coletados (patentes, artigos e PIB e população, para 183 países) indicam uma forte correlação entre ciência, tecnologia e renda. Três exercícios com simulações são realizados para diversos momentos do tempo, mostrando a progressiva aderência do modelo a essas variáveis tecnológicas.

Downloads

Os dados de download ainda não estão disponíveis.

Referências

Aversi, R. et al. The dynamics of international differentiation: a multi-country

evolutionary model. In: Dosi, G. Innovation, organization, and economic

dynamics – selected essays. Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar, 2000.

Bernardes, A.T.; Albuquerque, E.M. Cross-over, thresholds, and interactions between science and technology: lessons for less-developed countries. Research Policy, 32, p. 865-885, 2003.

Chiaromonte, F.; Dosi, G.; Orsenigo, L. Innovative learning and institutions

in the process of development: on the microfundations of growth regimes. In:

DOSI, G. Innovation, organization, and economic dynamics – selected essays.

Cheltenham, UK; Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar, 2000.

DOSI, G. Sources, procedures and microeconomic effects of innovation. Journal of Economic Literature, v. 27, p. 1126-1171, 1988.

DOSI, G. Opportunities, incentives and collective patterns of technological change.

The Economic Journal, v. 107, p. 1530-1547, 1997.

DOSI, G. Innovation, organization, and economic dynamics – selected essays. Cheltenham,

UK; Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar, 2000.

DOSI, G.; FREEMAN, C.; FABIANI, S. The process of economic development:

introducing some stylised facts and theories on technologies, firms and institutions.

Industrial and Corporate Change, v. 3, n. 1, 1994.

DOSI, G. et al. (Ed.). Technical change and economic theory. London: Pinter, 1988.

EDQUIST, C. (Ed.). Systems of innovation: technologies, institutions and organizations.

London: Pinter, 1997.

FAGERBERG, J. Technology and international differences in growth rates. Journal of Economic Literature, v. 32, Sept. 1994.

FAGERBERG, J. ; MO WERY, D.; NELSON, R. The Oxford Handbook of Innovation. Oxford:

Oxford University Press, 2005.

FREEMAN, C. The economics of industrial innovation. London: Pinter, 1974.

FREEMAN, C. Japan: a new national system of innovation? In: DOSI, G. et al. (Ed.). Technical

change and economic theory. London: Pinter, 1988, p. 330-348.

FREEMAN, C. The economics of technical change: critical survey. Cambridge Journal of

Economics, v. 18, p. 463-514, 1994.

FREEMAN, C. The “National System of Innovation” in historical perspective. Cambridge

Journal of Economics, v. 19, n. 1, 1995.

FREEMAN, C.; SOETE, L. The economics of industrial innovation. London: Pinter, 1997.

ISI −Institute of Scientific Information, 2005. Available at: http://portal.isiknowledge.

com. Access in: 19/08/2008.

LUNDVALL , B-A Innovation as an interactive process: from user-producer interaction

to the national system of innovation. In: DOSI, G. et al. (Ed.). Technical change and economic theory. London: Pinter, 1988, p. 349-369.

LUNDVALL , B. (Ed.). National systems of innovation: towards a theory of innovation and

interactive learning. London: Pinter, 1992.

MOED, H.; GLÄNZEL, W.; SCHMOCH, U. (Ed.). Handbook of quantitative

science and technology research: the use of publication and patent statistics in

studies of S&T systems. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2004.

NARIN, F.; HAMILTON, K. S.; OLIVA STRO, D. The increasing linkage between U.S. technology and public science. Research Policy, v. 26, n. 3, p. 317-330, 1997.

NELSON, R. Institutions supporting technical change in the United States. In:

DOSI, G. et al. (Ed.). Technical change and economic theory. London: Pinter, 1988, p. 312-329.

DOSI, G. et al.. (Ed.). National innovation systems: a comparative analysis. New York,

Oxford: Oxford University, 1993.

DOSI, G. et al. Recent evolutionary theorizing about economic change. Journal of Economic

Literature, v. XXXIII, p. 48-90, March 1995.

DOSI, G. et al. The agenda for growth theory: a different point of view. Cambridge Journal

of Economics, v. 22, p. 497-520, 1998.

DOSI, G. et al. Economic development from the perspective of evolutionary economic theory.

Available at: <http://www.globelics-beijing.cn/paper/Richard%20R%20

Nelson.pdf. Access in: 19/08/2008.

NELSON; WINTER, S. In search of useful theory of innovation. Research Policy,

v. 6, n. 5, 1977.

NELSON; WINTER, S. An evolutionary theory of economic change. Cambridge: Harvard University, 1982.

NELSON; WINTER, S. Evolutionary theorizing in economics. Journal of Economic Perspectives, v.16, n. 2, p. 23-46, 2002.

POSSAS, M.L. et al. Um modelo evolucionário setorial. Revista Brasileira de Economia, v. 55, n. 3, p. 333-377, 2001.

RIBEIRO, L. C. et al. National systems of innovation and technological differentiation: a multi-country model. International Journal of Modern Physics C, v. 17, n. 2, p. 247-257, 2006a.

RIBEIRO, L. C. et al. Science in the developing world: running twice as fast? Computing in Science and Engineering, v. 8, p. 81-87, July 2006b.

ROSENBERG, N. Perspectives on technology. Cambridge: Cambridge University, 1976.

RUIZ et al. Modelling the role of national system of innovation in economical differentiation.

In: GARRIDO, P. L.; MARRO, J.; MUOZ, M. A. (Ed.). Modeling cooperative behavior in the social sciences. In: Eighth Granada Lectures, 7-11 February 2005, Granada, Spain. Proceedings… Melville: American Institute of Physics, 2005.

SCHUMPETER, J. A. Theory of economic development. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1911.

Silverberg, G.; Dosi, G.; Orsenig o, L. Innovation, diversity and diffusion: a self-organisation model. The Economic Journal, 98, p.1032-1054, Dec. 1988.

Silverberg, G.; Soete, L. The economics of growth and technical change: technologies, nations, agents. Ipswich: Edward Elgar, 1994.

SILVER BER G, G.; VER SPAGEN, B. A percolation model of innovation in complex technology spaces. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, v. 29, p. 225-244, 2005.

USPTO – United States Patent and Trademark Office. 2001. Available at:

www.uspto.gov>. Access in: 19/08/2008.

Winter, S.G.; Kaniovski, Y.M.; Dosi, G. Modeling industrial dynamics with innovative entrants. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 11, 2000, p. 255-293, 2000.

World Bank . Statistical information. 2005. Available at: <http://www.worldbank.

org>. Access in: 19/08/2008.

Downloads

Publicado

30-06-2010

Edição

Seção

Não definida

Como Citar

Ribeiro, L. C., Ruiz, R. M., Bernardes, A. T., & Albuquerque, E. da M. e. (2010). Modeling economic growth fuelled by science and technology. Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo), 40(2), 319-340. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612010000200003