Lockdown e Covid-19: evidência brasileira





COVID-19, Lockdown, Mortalidade, Emprego, Brasil


Nós estimamos o impacto de políticas restritivas de distanciamento social sobre isolamento, casos e mortes de COVID-19 e emprego no Brasil. Compilando decretos de distanciamento social e combinando-os com dados públicos, nós identificamos um conjunto de municípios tratados que adotaram lockdown entre maio e junho de 2021 no Estado de São Paulo e construímos um grupo de controle com cidades dos mesmos Departamentos Regionais de Saúde. Nós estimamos os efeitos do lockdown usando um modelo de Diferença-em Diferenças com efeitos fixos de dois níveis e adoção escalonada. Nossas conclusões sugerem que a política aumentou o isolamento social uma semana após sua adoção, diminuiu os casos a partir de duas semanas, reduziu as mortes a partir de quatro semanas e não teve impactos significativos no emprego.


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Biografia do Autor

  • Angelo Kisil Marino, The University of Chicago

    Research Professional

  • Naercio Menezes-Filho, Insper e Universidade de São Paulo



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Como Citar

Marino, A. K., & Menezes-Filho, N. (2023). Lockdown e Covid-19: evidência brasileira. Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo), 53(2), 217-256. https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575321amnm