Impactos da volatilidade da taxa de câmbio no comércio setorial do Mercosul
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612007000400004Palavras-chave:
comércio bilateral, volatilidade da taxa de câmbio, econometria de painel, modelos gravitacionais, mercosulResumo
Este estudo capta o impacto da volatilidade da taxa de câmbio real bilateral no comércio. Estima-se um modelo gravitacional setorial utilizando-se duas medidas de volatilidade da taxa de câmbio. Os resultados mostram que uma redução na volatilidade da taxa de câmbio, o crescimento da renda e a redução das tarifas comerciais contribuem para aumentar o comércio bilateral no Mercosul. Este estudo sugere a inclusão e implementação de políticas comuns, estáveis e integradas entre os países do Mercosul, de modo a reduzir os impactos adversos da volatilidade cambial no comércio dos países envolvidos.Downloads
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Copyright (c) 2007 Mauricio V. L. Bittencourt, Donald W. Larson, Stanley R. Thompson
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