Testando as previsões de trade-off e pecking order sobre dividendos e dívida no Brasil

Authors

  • Júlio Cesar G. da Silva Faculdades Ibmec Author
  • Ricardo D. Brito Ibmec São Paulo Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612005000100002

Keywords:

dividends, debt, trade-off, pecking order, Brazil

Abstract

This article shows that the Brazilian companies have a low target payout ratio, although the local tax code favors dividends' distributions. The dividends paid present fast adjustment to current earnings, but part of the short-term variation in earnings is still absorbed by debt. Confirming predictions shared by the trade-off and pecking order models, more profitable firms and less levered firms have higher dividend payouts. Consistent with the pecking order model, dividends do not vary in the short-term to accommodate investments. Finally, more profitable firms and firms with fewer investments are less levered, accepting the pecking order hypothesis against the trade-off one.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

ALLEN, F.; MICHAELY, R. Payout policy. In: CONSTANTINIDES, G.; HARRIS, M.; STULZ, R., Handbook of the economics of finance: corporate finance. North-Holland, 2003.

AUERBACH, A. J. Real determinants of corporate leverage. In: FRIEDMAN, B., Corporate capital structures in the United States. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1985.

BRITO, R.; LIMA, M. A escolha da estrutura de capital sob fraca garantia legal: o caso do Brasil. Revista Brasileira de Economia, v. 59, p. a definir, 2005.

COCHRANE, J. Asset pricing. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2001.

DE ANGELO, H.; MASULIS, R. Optimal capital structure under corporate and personal taxation. Journal of Financial Economics, v. 8, p. 3-29, 1980.

EASTERBROOK, F. Two agency-cost explanations of dividends. American Economic Review, v. 74, p. 650-659, 1984.

FAMA, E.; FRENCH, K. Disappearing dividends: changing firm characteristics or lower propensity to pay? Journal of Financial Economics, v. 60, p. 3-43, 2001.

FAMA, E.; FRENCH, K. Testing trade-off and pecking order predictions about dividends

and debt. The Review of Financial Studies, v. 15, n. 1, p. 1-33, 2002.

FAMA, E.; MACBETH, J. Risk, return and equilibrium: empirical tests. Journal of Political Economy, v. 81, p. 607-636, 1973.

FIGUEIREDO, A. C. O conteúdo informativo de dividendos: evidências no Brasil. Anais do 2º Encontro Brasileiro de Finanças, 2002.

GOMES, G.; LEAL, R. Determinantes da estrutura de capitais das empresas brasileiras com ações negociadas em bolsas de valores. In: LEAL, R.; COSTA JR., N.; LEMGRUBER, E. Finanças corporativas. São Paulo: Atlas, 2001.

GRAHAM, J.; HARVEY, C. The theory and practice of corporate finance: evidence from the field. Journal of Financial Economics, forthcoming, 2000.

HARRIS, M.; RAVIV, A. The theory of capital structure. The Journal of Finance, v. 46, n. 1, p. 297-355, 1991.

JALILVAND, A.; HARRIS, R. S. Corporate behavior in ajusting to capital structure and dividend targets: an econometric study. Journal of Finance, v. 39, p. 127-145, 1984.

JENSEN, M. Agency costs of free-cash-flow, corporate finance, and takeovers. American Economic Review, v. 76, p. 323-329, 1986.

JENSEN, M.; MECKLING, W. Theory of the firm: managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics, v. 3, p. 305-360, 1976.

LA PORTA, R.; LOPEZ-DE-SILANES, F.; SHLEIFER, A.; VISHNY, R. Agency problems and dividends around the world. The Journal of Finance, v. 55, n. 1, p. 1-33, 2000.

LINTNER, J. The distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings, and taxes. American Review, v. 46, p. 97-113, 1956.

MILLER, M. Debt and taxes. Journal of Finance, v. 32, p. 261-75, 1977.

MILLER, M.; SCHOLES, M. Dividends and taxes. Journal of Financial

Economics, v. 6, p. 333-364, 1978.

MILLER, M.; MODIGLIANI, F. Dividend policy, growth and the valuation of shares. Journal of Business, v. 53, p. 433-443, 1963.

MILLER, M.; MODIGLIANI, F. Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction.

American Economic Review, v. 34, p. 411-33, 1961.

MODIGLIANI, F.; MILLER, M. E. The cost of capital, corporation finance and theory of investment. American Economic Review, v. 48, p.261-297, 1958.

MYERS, S. The capital structure puzzle. Journal of Finance, v. 39, p. 575-592, 1984

MYERS, S.; MAJLUF, N. Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, v. 13, p. 187-221, 1984.

PEROBELLI, F.; FAMÁ, R. Determinantes da estrutura de capital: aplicação a empresas de capital aberto brasileiras. Revista de Administração da Universidade de São Paulo, v. 37, jul-set. 2001.

PROCIANOY , J.; VERDI, R. O efeito clientela no mercado brasileiro. Anais do 2º Encontro Brasileiro de Finanças, 2002.

RAJAN, R.; ZINGALES, L. What do we know about capital structure? Some evidence from international data. Journal of Finance, v. 50, p.1421-1460, 1995.

SAITO, R.; LUCINDA, C. Determinantes do endividamento das empresas brasileiras – volume e composição. 2002. Mimeografado.

SHYAM-SUNDER, L.; MYERS, S. Testing static tradeoff against pecking order models of capital structure. Journal of Financial Economics, v. 51, p. 219-244, 1999.

TITMAN, S.; WESSELS, R. The determinants of capital structure choice. Journal of Finance, v. 43, p. 1-19, 1988.

TOBIN, J. A general equilibrium approach to monetary theory. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, v. 1, p. 15-29, 1969.

Published

01-03-2005

Issue

Section

Não definida

How to Cite

Silva, J. C. G. da, & Brito, R. D. (2005). Testando as previsões de trade-off e pecking order sobre dividendos e dívida no Brasil . Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo), 35(1), 37-79. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612005000100002