Fator de desconto estocástico no mercado acionário brasileiro

Authors

  • André Borges Catalão Banco Santander Banespa Author
  • Joe Akira Yoshino Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612006000300002

Keywords:

risk premium, asset pricing, market risk, equity premium risk, low interest rate puzzle, risk aversion, Arrow-Debreu contingent claim, Lucas´ asset pricing

Abstract

This article implements the minimum variance frontier for the stochastic discount factor, according to both Hansen and Jagannathan (1991) and Cochrane and Hansen (1992), for the Brazilian stock market. Two approaches are considered in terms of equity returns and equity premium, respectively, the Equity Premium Puzzle and the Low Interest Rate Puzzle. Furthermore, we apply also the econometric test of Burnside (1994) in these approaches. The criteria based on equity return results in an invalid discount factor. On the other hand, the approach using the equity premium, according to Cochrane and Hansen (1992), does not reject the discount factor. Thus, we do not corroborate these two puzzles for the Brazilian equity market. In fact, the equity premium puzzle has to satisfy both criterias above. Thus, in these sense this puzzle does not happen in the Brazilian stock market.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abel, A. Asset prices under habit formation and catching up with the Joneses. American

Economic Review, 80, p. 38-42, 1990.

Andrews, D. Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix

estimation. Econometrica, 59, p. 817-858, 1991.

Araújo, E. Entropy-based method of moments test of consumption-based asset pricing models: an application to Brazil. Proceedings do II Encontro da Sociedade Brasileira de Finanças, 2002.

Bansal, R.; Coleman, J. A monetary explanation of the equity premium, term premium, and riskfree rate puzzles’. Journal of Political Economy, 104, p. 1135-1171, 1996.

Bansal, R.; Yaron, A. Risks for the long run: a potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles’. NBER Working Paper N. 8059, 2000.

Barberis, N.; Huang, M.; Santos, T. Propect theory and asset prices’. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116, p. 1-53, 2001.

Bernartzi, S.; Thaler, R. Myopic loss aversion and the equity premium puzzle’. Journal of Economics, 110, p. 73-92, 1995.

Bonomo, M.; Domingues, G. Os puzzles invertidos no mercado brasileiro de ativos.

Finanças aplicadas ao Brasil. Rio de Janeiro, RJ: FGV Editora, 2002. (Marco Bonomo, organizador).

Burnside, C. Hansen-Jagannathan bounds as classical tests of asset-pricing models’.

Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12, p. 57-79, 1994.

Campbell, J.; Lo, A.; Mackinley, A. The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1997.

Campbell, J.; Cochrane, J. By force of habit: a consumption-based explanation of

aggregate stock market behavior. Journal of Political Economy, 107, p. 205-251, 1999.

Cochrane, J. Asset pricing. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001.

Cochrane, J.; Hansen, L Asset pricing explorations for macroeconomics. NBER Working Paper N. 4088, 1992.

Constantinides, G. Habit formation: a resolution of the equity premium puzzle. Journal of Political Economy, 98, p. 519-543, 1990.

Constantinides, G.; Duffie, D. Asset prices with heterogeneous consumers. Journal of Political Economy, 104, p. 219-240, 1996.

Constantinides, G.; Donaldson, J.; Mehra, R. Junior can’t borrow: a new perspective

on the equity premium puzzle. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, p. 269-296, 2002.

Domingues, G. Reproduzindo os momentos dos retornos no Brasil com CAPM intertemporal

e utilidade recursiva. 2000. Dissertação (Mestrado), Departamento de Economia. PUC-RJ.

Epstein, L.; Zin, S. Substitution, risk aversion and the temporal behavior of consumption

and asset returns: a theoretical framework. Econometrica, 57, p. 937-968, 1989.

Epstein, L.; Zin, S. Substitution, risk aversion and the temporal behavior of consumption and

asset returns: an empirical investigation. Journal of Political Economy, 99, p. 263-286, 1991.

Garcia, M.; Olivares, G. O prêmio de risco da taxa de câmbio no Brasil durante o Plano Real. Anais do XXI Encontro Brasileiro de Econometria, 1999.

Hansen, L.; Singleton, K. Generalized instrumental variables estimation on nonlinear rational expectations models. Econometrica, v. 50, n. 5, p. 1269-1288, 1982a.

Hansen, L.; Singleton, K. Errata do artigo generalized instrumental variables estimation on nonlinear rational expectations models. Econometrica, v. 52, n. 1, p. 267-268, 1982b.

Hansen, L.; Singleton, K. Stochastic consumption, risk aversion and the temporal behavior of asset returns. Journal of Political Economy, 91, p. 249-268, 1983.

Hansen, L.; Jagannathan, R. Implications of security market data for models of

dynamic economies. Journal of Political Economy, 99, p. 225-262, 1991.

Heaton, J.; Lucas, D. Evaluating the effects of incomplete markets on risk sharing

and asset pricing. Journal of Political Economy, 104, p. 443-487, 1996.

Heaton, J.; Lucas, D. Market frictions, savings behavior and portfolio choice. Journal of Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1, p. 76-101, 1997.

Huang, C.; Litzenberg, R. Foundations of financial economics. New York-Amsterdam:

North-Holland Publishing Co., 1988.

Issler, J.; Piqueira, N. Estimating relative risk aversion, the discount rate, and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution in consumption for Brazil using three types of utility function. Brazilian Review of Econometrics, 20, p. 200-238, 2000.

Kreps, D.; Porteus, E. Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory.

Econometrica, 66, p. 185-200, 1978.

Lucas, R. Asset prices in an exchange economy. Econometrica, 46, p. 1429-1445, 1978.

Mankiw, N. The equity premium and the concentration of aggregate shocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 17, p. 211-219, 1986.

McGrattan, E.; Prescott, E. Taxes, regulations, and asset prices. Working Paper N. 610, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 2001.

Mehra, R. The equity premium: why is it a puzzle? NBER Working Paper N. w9512, 2003.

Mehra, R.; Prescott, E. The equity premium: a puzzle. Journal of Monetary Economics, 15, p. 145-161, 1985.

Nakane, Márcio; Soriano, L. Real balances in the utility function: evidence for Brazil. Working Paper N. 68, Banco Central do Brasil, 2003.

Newey, W.; West, K. A simple, positive-definite, heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation

consistent covariance matrix. Econometrica, 55, p. 703-708, 1987.

Newey, W.; West, K. Automatic lag selection in covariance matrix estimation. Review of Economic Studies, 61, p. 631-653, 1994.

Obstfeld, M.; Rogoff, K. Foundations of international macroeconomics. Cambridge,

Massachussets: MIT Press, 1996.

Sampaio, F. Existe o equity premium puzzle no Brasil? Finanças aplicadas ao Brasil. In:

Bonomo, M. (org.), Os puzzles invertidos no mercado brasileiro de ativos. Finanças

aplicadas ao Brasil. Rio de Janeiro, RJ: FGV Editora, 2002.

Soriano, A. Testando CCAPM com dados brasileiros. 1999. Dissertação (Mestrado), Departamento de Economia, PUC-RJ.

Soriano, A. Testando o CCAPM através das fronteiras de volatilidade e da equação de Euler. Finanças aplicadas ao Brasil. In: Bonomo, M. (org.), Os puzzles invertidos no mercado brasileiro de ativos. Finanças aplicadas ao Brasil. Rio de Janeiro, RJ: FGV Editora, 2002.

Storesletten, K.; Telmer, C.; Yaron, A. Asset pricing with idiosyncratic risk and overlapping

generations. Working Paper. Pittsburgh: Carnegie Mellon University, 1999.

Weil, P. The equity premium puzzle and riskfree rate puzzle. Journal of Monetary Economics,

, p. 401-421, 1989.

Yoshino, J. The second-best asset pricing for solving both the equity premium puzzle

and the low interest rate puzzle. V Encontro Brasileiro de Finanças. São Paulo, 2005.

Published

01-09-2006

Issue

Section

Não definida

How to Cite

Catalão, A. B., & Yoshino, J. A. (2006). Fator de desconto estocástico no mercado acionário brasileiro . Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo), 36(3), 435-463. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612006000300002